Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.025878 0.027931 0.029993 0.032219 0.034548 0.036911 0.039486
2025-11-16 0.021943 0.025147 0.028486 0.032211 0.036238 0.040447 0.045163
2025-11-23 0.019407 0.023232 0.027326 0.032002 0.037166 0.042669 0.048946
2025-11-30 0.017528 0.021799 0.026474 0.031920 0.038042 0.044667 0.052333
2025-12-07 0.015705 0.020260 0.025352 0.031393 0.038295 0.045867 0.054739
2025-12-14 0.014086 0.018828 0.024239 0.030769 0.038341 0.046755 0.056723
2025-12-21 0.012626 0.017482 0.023135 0.030071 0.038226 0.047395 0.058367
2025-12-28 0.012076 0.017188 0.023232 0.030741 0.039664 0.049783 0.061984
2026-01-04 0.011288 0.016547 0.022870 0.030828 0.040387 0.051325 0.064612
2026-01-11 0.010489 0.015845 0.022390 0.030737 0.040869 0.052562 0.066871
2026-01-18 0.010113 0.015659 0.022528 0.031378 0.042211 0.054798 0.070288
2026-01-25 0.009431 0.015034 0.022084 0.031278 0.042640 0.055942 0.072415
2026-02-01 0.008714 0.014363 0.021601 0.031166 0.043114 0.057219 0.074807
2026-02-08 0.008046 0.013733 0.021154 0.031096 0.043645 0.058583 0.077336
2026-02-15 0.007389 0.013074 0.020632 0.030896 0.043989 0.059701 0.079554
2026-02-22 0.006832 0.012520 0.020222 0.030815 0.044461 0.060958 0.081931
2026-03-01 0.006166 0.011765 0.019503 0.030301 0.044360 0.061496 0.083424
2026-03-08 0.005524 0.011001 0.018737 0.029691 0.044111 0.061831 0.084653
2026-03-15 0.004913 0.010242 0.017940 0.029009 0.043740 0.061992 0.085652
2026-03-22 0.004759 0.010190 0.018138 0.029664 0.045101 0.064314 0.089309
2026-03-29 0.004448 0.009864 0.017926 0.029749 0.045708 0.065687 0.091796
2026-04-05 0.004109 0.009471 0.017599 0.029660 0.046076 0.066753 0.093899
2026-04-12 0.003987 0.009431 0.017788 0.030286 0.047390 0.069018 0.097501